Nicaragua News Service Published by the Nicaragua Network Education Fund March 17-23, 1996 Vol. 4, No. 12 Major news stories for the week: 1. U.S. will recognize FSLN victory. 2. New U.S. Ambassador named. 3. Surveys and more surveys. 4. Still no ruling on inhibitions placed on candidacies. 5. Purchasing power drops in last five years. 6. Social Security attempts to impound assets of Barricada. 7. Enrique Picado of Community Movement elected to regional position. 8. Mayor of Managua resigns. ______________________________________________________________________ 1. U.S. will recognize FSLN victory. The U.S. Secretary of Commerce, Ronald Brown, in Managua last week for a Forum on U.S.-Central American Investment and Trade issues, stated that the U.S. government has presented the Nicaraguan government with a proposal to indemnify U.S. citizens affected by confiscations during the last decade. The plan includes the possibility of international arbitration if a solution cannot be found locally. Brown also stated that the U.S. would recognize and respect the results of the October elections, even if the FSLN were to win. The official electoral campaign will begin August 2 and finalize October 16th. All electoral alliances must be registered with the Supreme Electoral Council by May 17th. At present 35 political parties are eligible to compete in the elections and the Supreme Electoral Council is studying new requests for party legalizations. (La Prensa, March 24) 2. New U.S. Ambassador named. Lino Gutierrez of the state of Florida, was named last week to be the new U.S. ambassador to Managua. The nomination still has to be approved by the U.S. Senate. Gutierrez was born in Cuba and is presently Director of Policy, Planning and Press Relations in the Latin America Department of the U.S. Department of State. He entered the U.S. Foreign Service in 1977 and has served in the following countries: Dominican Republic (1977-1979), Portugal (1979-1981), Haiti (1983-1985), France 1987-1990, Bahamas (1990-1993). He also participated in operations in the island of Grenada in October of 1983. (La Prensa, March 24) 3. Surveys and more surveys. The results of the latest survey from Borges and Associates indicate that Arnoldo Aleman continues to be the favorite to win in the October 1996 elections. According to the results of the poll in which 1,200 persons nationwide were interviewed, 48% believe that the PLC will win the elections while 26% who believe that the FSLN will win. Aleman, however, has dropped 4 percentage points--from 40.8% to 36.8%--in support since the last Borges survey in December of 1995, while Daniel Ortega gained 4 points--from 19.7 to 24%. 14% were undecided, down from 23%. Another survey, done by the Nicaraguan Studies Institute (IEN) and the Institute for Development Communications Initiatives (ICODE) presented the following results: - 80% of Nicaraguans do not trust their judicial system. - 50% prefer to take justice into their own hands. - 36% do not approve of the work of the Nicaraguan police. - 60% believe that human rights are being violated in the country. This survey was done between February 6th and 14th, with 1,250 citizens being interviewed to measure their thoughts on the situation of human rights in the country. (Barricada March 22, La Prensa March 22) 4. Still no ruling on inhibitions placed on candidacies. The Nicaraguan Supreme Court still has not ruled on the case presented in September 1995 by Cristiana Chamorro who is claiming that her constitutional rights are being violated by the fact that she cannot run for the presidency because she is a relative (daughter) of the current president. The secretary of the Supreme Court, Dr. Alfonso Valle Pastora stated that he did not know when the court would rule given that the Justices have not been able to agree on the issue. Chamorro's husband, Antonio Lacayo, is perhaps the person most affected by the 1995 Constitutional amendment that prohibits close relatives of the sitting president from running for the highest office. Lacayo, however, is campaigning and presenting himself as the only viable option for the country's highest elected position. (La Prensa, March 21) 5. Purchasing power drops in last five years. At the same time that the majority of Nicaraguans have not seen a salary increase since 1993, their purchasing power for a "basic basket of goods" has dropped by about $48 in the last five years. The loss of purchasing power calculated here, however, does not even take into account the rise in the prices of gasoline, electricity, water and telephone services. At present, the minimum salary in Nicaragua is about $60 per month, but the cost of a minimum "basic basket of goods" (which includes such things as rice, beans, laundry soap, etc.) for a family of five is now over $144. (Barricada, March 18) 6. Social Security attempts to impound assets of Barricada. Lawyers from the Nicaraguan Social Security System (INSS) tried to impound the assets of the newspaper Barricada last week because the newspaper company owes over $240,000 in past social security payments. The impounding, however, did not take affect because, instead of being addressed to the Editorial El Amanecer, the legal name of the Barricada company, it was addressed to Editorial Nuevo Amanecer. In 1995 Barricada tried to pay its obligations with state indemnification bonds, a practice authorized by the Minister of Finances, but that payment was rejected by the Minister of Social Security. Barricada workers have been denied medical fringe benefits by the Social Security system. Barricada, however, is not the only company or agency to owe considerable sums to the Social Security system. Practically every one of the 143 townships of the country is behind in its payments for city workers, including the city of Managua, which now owes over $6 million. Meanwhile, Simeon Rizo, the head of the Nicaraguan Social Security System, is under heavy criticism for preparing the conditions to privatize the system via the transfer of the assets of INSS to private companies which would manage the pension funds. The strongest criticism was made by National Assembly member and former Minister of the Institute of Social Security and Welfare under the Sandinista government, Reynaldo Antonio Tefel. (Barricada, March 20, 21) 7. Enrique Picado of Community Movement elected to regional position. Nicaragua, in the person of Enrique Picado, national coordinator of the Nicaraguan Community Movement, was elected president of the Central American Federation of Community Organizations (FCOC). A regional meeting was held in Managua last week to form the new organization. The FCOC is made up of community organizations from Panama, Belize, El Salvador, Costa Rica, Honduras, Guatemala and Nicaragua. (Barricada, March 20) 8. Mayor of Managua resigns. In a move made necessary by the new electoral law, Roberto Cedeno resigned his position as the Mayor of Managua in order to legally be eligible to run again for the position in the coming October elections. The previous mayor, Arnoldo Aleman, resigned earlier this year in order to run for the presidency. Both are high officials of the Liberal Constitutional Party (PLC). The new mayor will be elected by the Managua City Council on March 29th. Cedeno's probable successor is Mirian Fonseca, also of the PLC. One of the last things that Cedeno did as mayor (which coincided with one of his first unofficial campaign activities) was to exonerate the majority of the city's market merchants from back taxes due during 1995 and before. (Barricada, March 20th)