Nicaragua News Service Published by the Nicaragua Network Education Fund Vol. 6, No. 47 November 15-21, 1998 by Donna Vukelich 1. Nicaragua Needs $1.5 Billion to Rebuild 2. Health Dangers Grow 3. Hunger in Chinandega 4. Land Mine Threat 5. Debt Forgiveness News 6. Sociologist Paints Bleak Picture News Briefs 1. Nicaragua Needs $1.5 Billion to Rebuild The Nicaraguan government says it needs US$1.5 billion to rebuild the country, and plans to take a proposal to that effect to a December 9 Interamerican Development Bank meeting to be held in Washington. The government at this point says it has no definitive plan for reconstruction, but by the end of this coming week, each cabinet minister is to have submitted a plan covering his/her area. According to government data, 15% of all housing units in Nicaragua were lost. Road and highway destruction amounts to over US$600 million, while another US$20 million in losses were reported to the water system. Health care losses in infrastructure alone are reported at US$89 million, while losses to the country's educational infrastructure are just over US$51 million. The Ministry of Health says it needs US$12 million worth of medicines for the next six months alone. While road destruction was $600 million, Nicaragua's road and highway system was so old and obsolete that the Ministry of Transportation and Infrastructure is talking about a price tag of nearly US$800 million just for rebuilding the country's roads and bridges. And many engineers feel that the Panamerican Highway needs to be rebuilt as a four-lane highway, while other highways are also in need of major redesign efforts--which could double the cost given by the Ministry. Transportation Minister Jaime Bonilla said that Spain and Japan will be assisting in the repair and construction of many of Nicaragua's destroyed bridges. US$50 million has been invested in road and bridge repair since the hurricane. [La Prensa 11/19] 2. Health Dangers Grow Leptospirosis continues to be a threat in El Viejo, Chinandega and Esteli. By the end of the week, the Ministry of Health was forced to appeal to Cuba for medical assistance and a brigade of Cuban doctors arrived in the country on Saturday, armed with the "biorat" poison and food and supplies for themselves (initial Nicaraguan government comments had complained that the Cubans would have been more of a burden than anything else, as they would only be using up Nicaraguan food and supplies). [A woman who has been working around the clock with refugees in Esteli said she was "thrilled and relieved" that the brigade had arrived.] [La Prensa 11/16] By week's end, four people were reported dead of leptospirosis in Esteli, with another three deaths reported in Chinandega. There are over 70 suspected cases of leptospirosis at this point, and the head of the SILAIS in Chinandega, Dr. Agustin Guevara says the number of affected people in Chinandega could reach 15,000 within a month if severe measures are not taken promptly. Dr. Alvaro Ramirez, former head of epidemiology for MINSA, says that the number of people affected in Esteli could reach over 10,000. He accused Health Minister Martha McCoy of refusing to declare an epidemiological alert so as not to scare off tourists. According to health statistics beginning November 10, one case a day was reported in Chinandega, increasing to 5 cases a day, and up to 15 cases a day by November 16. [The Cuban government offered its medical team to Nicaragua on October 31.] Leptospirosis is spread by the urine of rats and infected domestic animals and mirrors the symptoms of dengue, which makes early detection (key to proper treatment) particularly difficult. [La Prensa 11/20] On Friday, MINSA finally declared a "situation of epidemiological emergency" in Chinandega, El Viejo and Esteli because of outbreaks of leptospirosis, cholera, dengue and malaria. Minister of Health McCoy also called a "National Epidemiological Alert" because of the contamination of much of the country's drinking water and the invasion of rodents in many urban areas. [END 11/21] The Ministry of Health has openly criticized Nicaraguan doctors for "refusing" to work in some of the areas most affected by the hurricane, and has threatened to fire them. However, the doctors in question hold that this is a manuever by the Ministry of Health to "pay back" the doctors most involved in the months-long medical strike carried out earlier this year. [La Tribuna 11/21] 3. Hunger in Chinandega In many areas in Chinandega, entire communities are wholly dependent on food donations from NGOs, church groups or the government. Communities that were already living in extreme poverty are in even worse conditions now and the situation is sure to worsen as the dry season sets in. In rural communities in and around the municipalities of Cinco Pinos, Santo Tomas del Norte, Somotillo and Villa Nueva, the Spanish and Nicaraguan Red Cross have basic food packages ready that will last only for about 15 days. Relief workers from at least one organization have reported being mobbed by hungry people. "We came in, handed out everything we had in several communities, according to how many people were in each family," said one worker. "Then we got in the trucks to leave. But word had spread that there were trucks with food and people came running, panting and gasping and screaming for food. They were pulling at us and shouting. And we had nothing left to give them." Hunger is also reported to be a problem in Las Segovias and in many areas along the Rio Coco, in the RAAN. [END 11/19; interviews] 4. Land Mine Threat The Nicaraguan army warns that many land mines left over from the war may now be spread throughout agricultural lands as a result of the flooding caused by Hurricane Mitch. A report by the head of the army's engineering troops, Major Sergio Ugarte, led OAS Secretary General Cesar Gaviria to issue a warning about the dangerous situation facing the country at this point. Ugarte said that before the hurricane hit, the army had fairly accurate records of the areas where a total of some 76,000 mines were located. "Now, we don't know how many are still out there, how many were destroyed, or where the remaining ones are," said Ugarte, adding that, "This is a very serious problem." He said that the most affected areas include "vast zones" of Boaco, Chontales, Jinotega, Matagalpa and Chinandega. Ugarte also said that the army is currently redesigning its demining program, underway since the early 1990s. It will be concentrating its efforts on areas around bridges, many of which have river beds that are 4-5 times wider than they were a month ago, which makes the work much more time-consuming and expensive. The army had originally set 2000 as the deadline for definitive deactivation of all existing mines, but Minister of Defense Pedro Joaquin Chamorro said that date is no longer feasible. Gaviria said the Nicaraguan army has done an excellent job of demining to date, but said that the army will need more international funds with which to continue and complete the task ahead. The army's Special Demining Unit currently employs nearly 400 men. Several military officials and soldiers have died as a result of demining work since 1990. [END 11/15] In addition to the military personnel involved in demining, many peasants are paid (per deactivated mine) by large landowners to do the dangerous work of demining. Gaviria called this a "crime" after being informed by OAS representative in Nicaragua Sergio Caramagna of the situation. Caramagna called it a pressing social, rather than exclusively technical, issue and said "the entire international community is responsible" and should be involved in resolving the problem. [END 11/16] 5. Debt Forgiveness News Nicaragua received official visits early this past week from Hillary Clinton, French president Jacques Chirac and IMF head Michel Camdessus. Before arriving in Nicaragua, Chirac had called for debt forgiveness and announced that it is "possible" that the upcoming Paris Club meeting in December could result in the forgiving of between 67% and 80% of Nicaragua's commercial debt (a total of US$1.19 billion). Chirac said he would advocate for more favorable treatment of Nicaragua's multilateral debt which totals US$1.65 billion. He said the IMF has acted "intelligently" in its handling of the post-hurricane situation in Central America. In response to a formal request made by President Aleman, Michel Camdessus said he would support the IMF forgiving 80% of Nicaragua's debt with that institution, and also said the IMF is extending US$50 million (in more loans) to "help" Nicaragua meet its ongoing debt obligations until the final decision is made regarding forgiveness. Camdessus lauded the Nicaraguan government's compliance with the IMF program, in and called its attitude "courageous and appropriate". He said it is crucial that the recent disaster not affect the "strides that the government has made" to date. Central Bank President Noel Ramirez said that, if 80% debt forgiveness is achieved, "every dollar freed up...will be invested in social programs." Hillary Clinton said that the US is forgiving US$54 million in bilateral loans with Nicaragua and Honduras. In her short visit to Nicaragua, where she remained in the airport, she also said "we will talk to our partners about relieving the multilateral debt" in the region. She said that the US will be sending more helicopters and field hospitals to Central America to assist hurricane victims and aid in reconstruction efforts. [La Tribuna 11/17] The Interamerican Development Bank launched a Regional Recovery Fund for Microbusinesses this week and said US$12 million will be available to support institutions offering credit to microbusinesses that were hard hit by Hurricane Mitch throughout Central America. [END 11/17] Brazilian President Fernando Cardoso has requested his country's parliament to consider a request to forgive Nicaragua's US$197 million debt with that country. That would bring the total debt forgiven to US$354 million (including Cuba, France, Austria and now Brazil, if the request goes through). [La Prensa 11/20] 6. Sociologist Paints Bleak Picture Sociologist and CIPRES director Orlando Nunez says that one impact of Hurricane Mitch will be to touch off a wave of rural-urban migration (or emigration out to Costa Rica or the US) and create a virtual "depopulation" of much of Nicaragua's rural sector. According to Nunez' calculations, some 50,000 mz. of land simply no longer exist as arable land--they have been transformed by the hurricane into ditches or stretches of sand that no longer serve for any type of agriculture. Nicaragua is looking at "apocalyptic poverty" in the rural sector, says Nunez, adding that the government and the large landowners have been looking to recover large extensions of land and warns that government actions in the coming months could set the stage for an accelerated process of concentration of land. Nunez holds that Nicaragua is losing viability in economic, social and political terms and blasted the government for being little more than an "overseer" for the international financial institutions and transnational corporations, wholly sidestepping government's historic commitment to providing a minimal level of social services to its citizens. The devastation caused by Mitch was so overwhelming, Nunez says, because of the tremendous ecological damage already done to large areas of Nicaragua--Leon and Chinandega with the cotton boom of the 50s and 60s that left much of the area in near desert-like conditions; Las Segovias, now largely denuded hills after mostly US corporations clear cut the once lush pine forests. Those are precisely the areas hardest hit by Mitch. He reminds people that the small and medium holders in Nicaragua produce most of the country's food, and also most of its foreign exchange, yet get scant government credit and no subsidies--unlike the wealthy sugar growers who are paid (by the government) prices 2-3x the international market rate. Nunez said the government, most politicians and "even the FSLN's leadership" thinks that producers or the private sector are the large, wealthy producers and so the small and medium producers are likely to fall by the wayside and, in the coming months, will be swelling the large departmental cities as they leave what is no longer a viable life for them in the rural areas. [interview on Radio La Primerisima] News Briefs - Ecologist Mayra Blandino says that the waters of the Asososca Lagoon, which once provided over half of Managua's drinking water, are in danger of being contaminated because of the sharp rise in the level of Lake Xolotlan's (Lake Managua) levels. With the sudden increase in the level of Xolotlan, there is a significant risk, says Blandino, that contaminated water will pass from Xolotlan to Asososca through a filtration process. Blandino says a 1995 study carried out by a Canadian university indicated a crisis at that point because of Asososca's relatively lower level. That crisis led to a series of wells being dug and Asososca now provides only 10% of Managua's drinking water. Blandino says that Japanese technicians have indicated that Managua will have to rely on Lake Cocibolca (Nicaragua) as a source of drinking water within the next 10 years, but she notes that the drainage of Xolotlan's waters into Cocibolca (through the once-dry Tipitapa River) also threaten Cocibolca. "It's the first time that we as ecologists are worried because an aquifer is being reborn," said Blandino. [END 11/20] - The Bishops' Conference issued a pastoral letter calling on national and municipal authorities to "responsibly and seriously assume" the pressing tasks of national reconstruction, and urged the opposition to refrain from party politics in the midst of the crisis. The letter terms "truly sad" the way some municipal authorities who are allied with the central government delayed important actions at the time of the hurricane because they were more worried about politics. "This is the time for reconstruction and we must put ourselves in a constructive position," said Cardinal Miguel Obando. [La Tribuna 11/18] - Vice President Enrique Bolanos said that the National Emergency Committee will conclude its tasks this coming Tuesday. He said that the task at hand now is reconstruction and there is no longer any need for an emergency committee. Formal dissolution of the committee must be done by executive decree. [La Tribuna, 11/19] - The polling firm Borge and Associates has released the results of a poll it did just prior to the hurricane. According to the poll, only 12.5% of those surveyed would vote again for Arnoldo Aleman if presidential elections were held now. The poll said that 22.7% would vote for Daniel Ortega, 12.8% for Conservative leader Noel Vidaurre, 5.5% for Comptroller General Agustin Jarquin and 3.8% for former president Violeta Chamorro. [END 11/15] - Experts say that another landslide is possible in El Casita volcano. The experts, a group of scientists from Nicaragua, the US, Switzerland and Mexico carried out on-site tests after the October 30 slide that buried two entire communities on the slopes of El Casita. [La Prensa 11/18] - In an editorial published this week in both La Prensa and La Tribuna, Minister of the Family said that the "worst disaster" of all is that many people are "still" in refugee centers "waiting passively" for food and supplies. [La Tribuna 11/17] Reports are that very few men in the refugee centers in Tipitapa were willing to work (they were reportedly offered 20 cordobas for one-half day of work shovelling out roads, ditches, etc., although some reports say that there are only jobs for a handful of the adults in a given center). [La Prensa 11/19] - The Central American Integration System (SICA) says that 4 million people in Central America have been affected by Hurricane Mitch--in other words, 15% of the region's entire population. SICA says Nicaragua's total number of affected people is nearly 800,000; while its economic losses are $1.2 billion. [END 11/16] - The European Union announced that it will be sending a total of $120 million in relief aid to Central America, and that the assistance will be channeled through the United Nations, the Red Cross and European NGOs based in the region. The announcement was made by European Union representative Emma Bonino on a brief visit to Nicaragua and the rest of Central America. While in Nicaragua, Bonino visited Palacaguina and Ocotal. [END 11/15] - Spain will be sending around $200 million in relief aid to Central America, according to Prince Phillip who visited Nicaragua and Honduras to visit with victims of Hurricane Mitch. [La Prensa 11/15] - The Nicaraguan army awarded medals this week both to its own pilots who were so key in rescue and relief efforts during and after the hurricane, as well as to foreign pilots and helicopter crews who have been assisting in recent days. Awards went to pilots from Mexico, Venezuela, the US, France and Panama. The medals were given out by army chief Joaquin Cuadra. Vice President Enrique Bolanos seized the occasion to insist again that he doesn't think Nicaragua needs an army. Cuadra reminded the press that President Aleman had thanked the Nicaraguan army for its work during the disaster, saying "that should answer any doubts or questions" that anyone might still have about the need for the army. [La Prensa 11/19] - Vice President Enrique Bolanos was hospitalized briefly after suffering dizziness and nausea. Doctors attending him said it was fatigue and by the end of the week were recommending a period of total rest. [La Prensa 11/15]